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Jefferies Thinks 2011 Could Be Bad For Some Mortgage REITs

By Market News Video Staff, Wednesday, January 19, 11:45 AM ET

Mortgage REIT investors received mixed news from Jefferies this morning when the investment firm issued a report on Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY), MFA Financial (NYSE:MFA) and Hatteras Financial (NYSE:HTS). Starting with the good news, Jefferies upgraded shares of MFA Financial (NYSE:MFA) from hold to buy as the firm expects MFA's non-Agency mortgages to increases in value this year. With the upgrade, the firm raised its price target from $7.50 per share up to $9.00. Based on the current stock price, this represents an upside of about 12.5%, not including the company's 11.8% dividend yield.

And with the good news, comes the bad. Jefferies downgraded shares of Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) from buy to hold as investment spreads are expected to tighten this year. As the yield curve flattens and Agency MBS prices fall, maintaining the dividend could prove difficult for Annaly. With the downgrade, Jefferies reduced its price target from $18 per share down to $15. Also downgraded today was Hatteras Financial (NYSE:HTS). Jefferies downgraded the stock from buy to hold as higher capital costs could impact earnings at the company. Based on Hatteras' portfolio, Jefferies expects the portfolio to decrease in value if MBS prices continue lower.

If mortgage REITs begin to fall, the iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage Plus Capped Index Fund (AMEX:REM) is sure to follow. The fund holds almost 20% of the portfolio in Annaly stock and another 2.9% in Hatteras Financial. For a complete list of holdings, please visit the REM Holdings page on ETFChannel.com

For a list of ETFs holding HTS, MFA or NLY, visit the following links:

ETFs Containing HTS

ETFs Containing MFA

ETFs Containing NLY

Disclosure: The author of this article was long HTS at the time of publication.


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This Article's Word Cloud:   Agency   Annaly   Based   Capital   Capped   Containing   ETFs   Financial   Hatteras   Jefferies   Mortgage   NYSE   With   asset   classes   company   complete   could   countries   designed   dividend   downgrade   downgraded   expects   fall   firm   follow   from   good   hold   investment   investors   list   news   portfolio   price   prices   represents   share   shares   stock   target   this   upgrade   value   visit   when   with   year   yield
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