Investors in Arch Capital Group Ltd (NASDAQ:ACGL) saw new options begin trading today, for the December 17th expiration. One of the key data points that goes into the price an option buyer is willing to pay, is the time value, so with 289 days until expiration the newly trading contracts represent a possible opportunity for sellers of puts or calls to achieve a higher premium than would be available for the contracts with a closer expiration. At Stock Options Channel, our YieldBoost formula has looked up and down the ACGL options chain for the new December 17th contracts and identified the following put contract of particular interest.
The put contract at the $35.00 strike price has a current bid of 15 cents. If an investor was to sell-to-open that put contract, they are committing to purchase the stock at $35.00, but will also collect the premium, putting the cost basis of the shares at $34.85 (before broker commissions). To an investor already interested in purchasing shares of ACGL, that could represent an attractive alternative to paying $36.77/share today.
Because the $35.00 strike represents an approximate 5% discount to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the put contract would expire worthless. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 64%. Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change, publishing a chart of those numbers on our website under the contract detail page for this contract. Should the contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 0.43% return on the cash commitment, or 0.54% annualized — at Stock Options Channel we call this the YieldBoost.
Below is a chart showing the trailing twelve month trading history for Arch Capital Group Ltd, and highlighting in green where the $35.00 strike is located relative to that history:
The implied volatility in the put contract example above is 88%.
Meanwhile, we calculate the actual trailing twelve month volatility (considering the last 252 trading day closing values as well as today's price of $36.77) to be 58%. For more put and call options contract ideas worth looking at, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
This Article's Word Cloud:ACGLArchArialBecauseBelowCapitalChannelDecemberGroupInvestorsOptionsStockYieldBoostalsocallchartcontractcontractscurrentdataexpirationexpirefillColorgreekshistoryimpliedinvestormonthoddsoptionspremiumpricerepresentsharesstockstrikethattheythisthosetimetodaytradingtrailingtwelvevolatilitywillwithworthlesswould
Any ideas and opinions presented in all Market News Video clips are for informational and educational purposes
only, and do not reflect the opinions of BNK Invest, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries or partners.
In no way should any content contained herein be interpreted to represent trading or investment advice.
None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio,
transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. All viewers agree that under no
circumstances will BNK Invest, Inc,. its subsidiaries, partners, officers, employees, affiliates, or agents be held
liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information obtained. Read Full Disclaimer.